Risk Factors:

Nearly 21 million Americans have diabetes; up to 95% of these cases are type 2. In addition, 26% of Americans age 20 and older (and 40% of Americans age 65 and older) have impaired fasting glucose, a pre-diabetes condition that increases the risk for diabetes. According to the American Diabetes Association, 54 million people have pre-diabetes, bringing a total of 75 million Americans who either have diabetes or are at risk of developing it.

Historically, type 2 diabetes usually developed after the age of 40, but it is now also increasing in children. The prevalence of diabetes in the U.S. has increased by 5% each year since 1990, and experts believe that obesity is the major factor behind this dramatic growth rate. Given the current epidemic of obesity, experts estimate that over a third of all people born in 2002 will eventually develop diabetes. Furthermore, the dramatic increase in diabetes is occurring worldwide as American lifestyles become global. Evidence strongly suggests that healthy lifestyles can prevent most cases of type 2 diabetes. People with pre-diabetes can substantially lower their risk by losing weight through diet and exercise.

Healthy adults age 45 and older should get tested for diabetes. Patients who are younger than age 45 and who are overweight or have other risk factors should also ask their doctors about testing. According to the National Institutes of Health, the following are major risk factors for diabetes and pre-diabetes:

• Age 45 or older
• Family history of diabetes
• Overweight
• Inactive lifestyle (exercise less than 3 times a week)
• African-American, Hispanic/Latin American, American Indian and Alaska Native, Asian-American, or Pacific Islander ethnicity
• High blood pressure (140/90 mm Hg or higher)
• HDL (“good”) cholesterol less than 35 mg/dL or triglyceride level 250 mg/dL or higher
• Have had diabetes during pregnancy (gestational diabetes) or have given birth to a baby that weighed more than 9 pounds
• Polycystic ovary syndrome (metabolic disorder that affects female reproductive system)
• Acanthosis nigricans (dark, thickened skin around neck or armpits)
• History of disease of blood vessels to the heart, brain, or legs
• Diabetes test history of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) or impaired glucose tolerance (IGT)

Obesity and Metabolic Syndrome

Obesity is the number one risk factor for type 2 diabetes. It is estimated that 80 - 95% of the current dramatic increases in type 2 diabetes are due to obesity. Excess body fat appears to play a strong role in insulin resistance, but the way the fat is distributed is also significant. Weight concentrated around the abdomen and in the upper part of the body (apple-shaped) is associated with insulin resistance and diabetes, heart disease, high blood pressure, stroke, and unhealthy cholesterol levels. Waist circumferences greater than 35 inches in women and 40 inches in men have been specifically associated with a greater risk for heart disease and diabetes. (People with a "pear-shape" -- fat that settles around the hips and flank -- appear to have a lower risk for these conditions.) However, obesity does not explain all cases of type 2 diabetes. It is also common among people in countries where weights tend to be low, such as Asia or India.

Metabolic Syndrome. A set of conditions referred to as metabolic syndrome (also called Syndrome X) is a pre-diabetic condition that is significantly associated with heart disease and higher mortality rates from all causes. The syndrome consists of obesity marked by abdominal fat, unhealthy cholesterol levels, high blood pressure, and insulin resistance.

Family History

Between 25 - 33% of patients with type 2 diabetes have family members with diabetes. Having a first-degree relative with the disease poses a 40% risk of developing diabetes. One study reported that people with diabetic family histories have a higher risk for developing the disease at an earlier stage and with more severe features. Because families share many lifestyle features (eating and exercise habits) it is difficult to determine when genetics or environment play the major role. When clusters of type 1 and type 2 diabetes appear within families, genetic factors should be strongly suspected.

Ethnicity

The risk for type 2 diabetes varies among population groups. Diabetes also seems to pose higher or lower risks for specific complications among ethnic groups. Genetic and socioeconomic factors, or both, seem to be involved in some ethnic differences, but in most cases the observed increase in ethnic groups in Americans is due to changes in traditional lifestyles.

• African-Americans. African-American men have twice the risk of developing type 2 diabetes as Caucasian men. African-Americans with diabetes are also at higher risk for amputations than Caucasians. This is most likely due to a higher incidence of high blood pressure and smoking as well as poorer health care in African-Americans. Genetic factors may also play a role. For example, there is some evidence that African-Americans process insulin in the liver differently from Caucasians, which may make them more susceptible to diabetes when other risk factors are present.
• Native Americans. The Pima tribe in Arizona has an incidence of type 2 diabetes that is 19 times higher than that of the white population. The risk for diabetic complications among young Pima adults is also very high. Other Native American tribes in North America are also at high risk for type 2 diabetes. The association between diet and diabetes among this population remains critical, however, in assessing the reason for their higher risk. For example, Pimas who live in Mexico exercise more and eat less fat (but consume more calories) than Pima tribes in Arizona. Mexican Pimas have a prevalence of diabetes of only 6%, while half of their Arizona Pima neighbors have diabetes.
• Hispanic Americans. The rate of type 2 diabetes is also very high among Mexican Americans, about double that for Caucasians. This group may also be at higher risk for heart problems than other ethnic groups with diabetes.
• Asian Americans. Overweight Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders are at increased risk for developing type 2 diabetes. The risk for some Asian ethnic groups (such as Native Hawaiians and Filipinos) is twice that of Caucasians.

Smoking

Smoking increases the risk for diabetes. According to a 2006 study, smokers are more than twice as likely to develop diabetes as people who have never smoked. Another 2006 study found that exposure to second-hand cigarette smoke also increases the risk for diabetes in non-smokers.

Low Birth Weight

Low birth weight is now a recognized risk factor for type 2 diabetes and heart disease in adulthood. The reasons are unclear, although studies suggest it may represent a genetic factor. Studies have observed that babies of fathers with type 2 diabetes and of women who later developed type 2 diabetes tend to weigh less than babies of parents without diabetes. Such studies suggest that some parents may have some specific gene that affects insulin factors, putting both themselves and their children at risk for future diabetes. Theoretically, such a gene might also affect insulin factors in the developing fetus, causing low birth weight. (Of note, mothers of very high-weight babies are also at risk for diabetes -- although in these cases it is most often associated with gestational diabetes.)

Diabetes in Children and Adolescents

Obesity-Related Type 2 Diabetes in Children. Diabetes in children used to be mostly type 1 (an autoimmune disease). Between 1982 - 1994, however, the incidence of type 2 diabetes in children increased 10-fold. By 1996, a study reported that a third of all new diabetes cases in children were type 2. This increase parallels the rising epidemic in childhood obesity that has occurred both in the United States and worldwide, notably Europe and Japan. In some areas of Japan, type 2 diabetes has now become the dominant form of diabetes in children and adolescents. Obesity in children is also related to abnormalities in cholesterol, blood pressure, and insulin levels in adults. Administering glucose tolerance tests in overweight children may be helpful in identifying those at high risk for diabetes.

Maturity-Onset Diabetes in Caucasian Youth. Maturity-onset diabetes in youth (MODY) is a rare genetic form of type 2 diabetes that develops only in Caucasian teenagers. It accounts for 2 - 5% of type 2 cases. (This form of type 2 diabetes is not associated with obesity.)

Diabetes in Pregnant Women (Gestational Diabetes)

An estimated 5% of pregnant women develop a form of type 2 diabetes, usually temporary, in their third trimester called gestational diabetes.

Gestational diabetes is diabetes that first appears during pregnancy. It usually develops during the third trimester of pregnancy. After delivery, blood sugar (glucose) levels generally return to normal, although 25% of these women develop type 2 diabetes within 15 years.

Who Gets Gestational Diabetes? Estimates for the prevalence of gestational diabetes are generally about 4%. Some studies, however, have suggested significantly higher rates.

A pregnant woman's risk factors include:

• Family history of diabetes
• African-American, Hispanic, Asian, or Pacific Islander ethnicity
• Overweight
• Older than 25 years
• Gestational diabetes with past pregnancy
• Having given birth to a child weighing over 9 pounds
• Diagnosis of pre-diabetes

Who Should Be Tested for Gestational Diabetes? A number of expert groups recommend that all pregnant women be tested for gestational diabetes between their 24th - 28th week. Pregnant women at high risk for diabetes should be tested earlier. The only women who do not need to be tested are those at very low risk. Generally they have the following characteristics:

• Under 25 years old
• Normal weight
• No first-degree relatives with diabetes
• Not belonging to high-risk ethnic groups

Effect of Diabetes on the Fetus. Because glucose crosses the placenta, a woman with diabetes can pass high levels of blood glucose to the fetus. In response, the fetus secretes high levels of insulin. Studies indicate that such conditions may affect the developing fetus as soon as it is conceived, placing the unborn child at risk for:

• Excessive fetal weight gain, which can lead to complications during delivery
• Birth defects
• Breathing problems and delayed lung development
• Low blood sugar
• Higher future risk for obesity and diabetes

Effect of Diabetes on the Pregnant Woman. In addition to endangering the fetus, diabetes also presents risks to the pregnant woman.

The most serious potential complications from gestational diabetes are high blood pressure during pregnancy, a condition called preeclampsia that is potentially dangerous. Because gestational diabetes increases the size of the fetus, it is also increases the likelihood that a woman will require a Cesarean delivery. Gestational diabetes also increases the risk that a woman will later develop type 2 diabetes.

How Is Gestational Diabetes Managed? Some suggestions for preventing complications include:

• In most cases, increases in glucose levels can be managed with diet and exercise. Aerobic exercise before and during pregnancy may lower glucose levels and help protect women at risk or those who have gestational diabetes. (Any pregnant woman should check with her doctor before embarking on a vigorous exercise regimen.)
• If a woman with gestational diabetes cannot control her glucose with lifestyle measures, she is usually given insulin.

The placenta provides the fetus with oxygen and nutrients and takes away waste, such as carbon dioxide, via the umbilical cord.

Other Medical Conditions

Polycystic Ovary Syndrome. Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a condition that affects about 6% of women and results in the ovarian production of high amounts of androgens (male hormones), particularly testosterone. It appears to be an important cause of many menstrual disorders. Women with PCOS are at higher risk for insulin resistance, and about half of PCOS patients also have diabetes.

Schizophrenia. While no definitive association has been established, research has suggested an increased background risk of diabetes among people with schizophrenia. In addition, many of the new generation of antipsychotic medications may elevate blood glucose levels. Patients taking antipsychotic medications (such as clozapine, olanzapine, risperidone, aripiprazole, quetiapine fumarate, ziprasidone) should receive a baseline blood glucose level test and be monitored for any increases during therapy.

Depression. According to a 2007 study, adults who have severe clinical depression may have a greater risk of developing type 2 diabetes than those who have never experienced depressive symptoms.

Hepatitis C. Patients with hepatitis C have a higher incidence of type 2 diabetes. The reasons for this are unclear.